Showing posts with label China. Show all posts
Showing posts with label China. Show all posts

Monday 3 January 2022

Coal continues to be surprisingly a strongly traded commodity in Asian Markets

Who would have ever thought that Coal, a much hated and maligned commodity would continue to be a strongly traded commodity in 2022? Indonesia, a leading exporter of thermal coal banned the shipments of coal on New Years Day 2022, causing a surge in coal prices. This follows on a record $158 per tonne in October, though it slipped $68 on Dec. 29 according to Refinitiv and Kpler.
A report published in December 2021 by China's State Grid Corporation outlined China's plans to build as much as 150 gigawatts (GW) of new coal-fired power capacity over the 2021-2025 period, bringing the total to 1,230 GW as the first 1,000-megawatt unit of the Coal powered Shanghaimiao plant, the biggest of its kind was completed. The plant will eventually have four generating units adding to more than half of global coal-fired power generation, a 9% year-on-year increase in 2021, according to a report from International Energy Agency published in December 2021, even as US coal powered plans continue to close.
China (US$16.4 billion - 17.3%), Japan - ($15.95 billion - 16.8%) and India ($15.87 billion - 16.7%) were the biggest importers of coal in 2020 compared to China ($19.6 billion - 12.9%), India - $24.6 billion (16.2%) and Japan (US$25.4 billion - 16.7% of total coal imports) in 2019 as reported by Caixin. These three Asian giants will continue to be major Coal commodities players for at least the next decade.

Wednesday 29 December 2021

Revisiting an old Commodities classic - "Hot Commodities" by Jim Rogers

Over the holidays I re-read Jim Rogers' classic "Hot Commodities" written back in 2004.
In this book, Jim had colorfully introduced the world of commodity investing as one of the simplest bases by which investors can value companies, markets, and whole economies. In particular, I re-read his predictions written in 2004 on his recommended hot commodities - oil, gold, lead, sugar and coffee - and on the ffect of China on these commodities. At the close of 2021, I have to take my hat off to Jim for being spot on and nailing every single call. Jim's book is available on amazon.